>>2679
>>2681
Also, China's GDP growth has been fabricated since Jiang Zemin, meaning it's economy is significantly smaller - and much of that is in the overinflated property sector.
It's possible China gets desperate but there are no easy targets on it's border to bully. There are rumors that an invasion of Taiwan would just result in the military overthrowing Xi and placing one of their guys in charge because it would be so disastrous for China.
>losing all trading partners and not able to substitute with domestic production
>war with Japan and Taiwan at a minimum, USA and Korea as well at the very worst
>both Vietnam and India encroaching along its contested borders
>horrible demographics for waging war
>shitty military with shitty equipment
>potential civilization ending dam attacks
>inability to maintain food production
etc.
I think we are just going to see dozens of smaller conflicts with the US backing one side and China-Russia on the other, like in Africa and the Middle East. Hopefully South Asia remains safe, only wild card is Pak but even they seem to have mellowed out lately.